Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 174.076457 206.405772 245.983904 299.010068 369.824066 463.671878 6.021386e+02
2025-01-19 129.781524 166.193075 216.314368 293.663877 416.947768 620.630980 1.023778e+03
2025-01-26 114.475978 154.904466 215.611761 320.460759 515.372484 914.812764 2.026707e+03
2025-02-02 107.833889 153.099031 226.582201 367.863178 675.829145 1487.871398 5.209626e+03
2025-02-09 94.932210 138.502268 212.502956 364.352899 731.493098 1895.009043 1.043347e+04
2025-02-16 86.369813 129.187796 205.029760 370.720219 815.798572 2550.523014 2.875424e+04
2025-02-23 79.275587 121.076988 197.808697 374.916463 899.335755 3430.058861 1.314051e+05
2025-03-02 73.901123 115.097263 193.324059 383.850963 1007.498201 4864.004094 2.282874e+07
2025-03-09 68.986534 109.219781 187.847292 388.538396 1108.713529 6881.534682 NaN
2025-03-16 63.399871 101.393931 176.984230 375.744035 1133.612464 8499.511554 NaN
2025-03-23 61.043406 99.383460 178.133292 396.741671 1332.765033 15342.500153 NaN
2025-03-30 56.263694 92.151998 166.665462 377.420945 1318.237567 18209.614917 NaN
2025-04-06 52.861431 87.699028 161.735524 379.918278 1450.720515 32795.737789 NaN
2025-04-13 49.191880 82.392490 154.189606 372.499331 1527.991486 57160.868006 NaN
2025-04-20 48.263869 82.513208 159.438734 410.292059 2000.637393 651192.088828 NaN
2025-04-27 48.451539 84.959060 170.954510 478.333604 3020.294838 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 45.708202 80.775257 164.610979 473.244118 3276.868786 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 43.741097 78.088589 161.819036 482.481874 3810.726529 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 41.855689 75.390614 158.557017 488.584151 4383.156475 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 40.333726 73.360942 156.836162 501.614608 5254.563091 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 38.767021 71.078934 154.039030 508.471360 6138.309782 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 36.692804 67.451885 146.832122 489.788965 6212.573847 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 35.956622 66.887132 148.605425 520.504621 8461.108235 NaN NaN